Wall St. Journal just called.Told him WA State Political Poll has me leading Rossi 2nd month in a row. www.washingtonstatepolls.com #wcotThere's little chance the Wall Street Journal will report that.
Several weeks back, I was made aware of a website called washingtonstatepolls.com. It had some fairly unbelievable Senate and Congressional race results. Taking a look at the self-selecting methodology and the lack of transparency concerning the pollster, I immediately dismissed it.
Now today's The Columbian has a front page story exposing the poll, which it says has "zero credibility with polling professionals."
It polls from an unspecified database within the state, giving “those selected for the survey” a website link and a survey code that allow them to answer the survey questions online. It claims a return rate of 10 to 15 percent, and, in the most recent 3rd District results, a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.The Columbian article also explores the rumor that Washington 3rd Congressional District candidate David Hedrick's campaign is tied to the poll. Hedrick, who is a Didier supporter, is ahead according to washingtonstatepolls.com.
No contact information is available on the website. And whoever registered its domain, washingtonstatepolls.com, opted for domain privacy service, which keeps personal information from being linked to the site.
“That right there is enough to disqualify it as a legitimate poll,” said Stuart Elway, director of the respected Elway Poll based in Seattle. “If they are not willing even to disclose who is sponsoring it or where it comes from, let alone its methodology, it is so far from the standards of the American Association of Public Opinion Research that it shouldn’t be paid any attention to.”
One of the basic tenets of scientific polling is disclosure, Elway said. “You have to disclose what your methods are and what database you are using. If you don’t know who is in that database, and who is responding, you can’t draw any conclusions from it.”
Matt Barreto, a University of Washington political scientist who heads the similarly named Washington Poll at the UW, said there’s no guarantee that those responding to the Washington State Political Polls are even registered voters. “It’s not random or scientifically administered,” he said.
Didier's use of this fantasy poll is yet another example of how he will do anything to win. How can we possibly trust him if he makes it to Washington, D.C.?